Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.732880 1.981288 2.254173 2.576428 2.946916 3.359907 3.855742
2025-08-24 1.367325 1.689973 2.073878 2.565294 3.179081 3.922316 4.893523
2025-08-31 1.105789 1.459085 1.908683 2.524877 3.350836 4.424505 5.933922
2025-09-07 0.971985 1.358097 1.879311 2.638050 3.720824 5.220177 7.470889
2025-09-14 0.850032 1.248876 1.815936 2.686585 4.000094 5.924388 8.987858
2025-09-21 0.736707 1.131667 1.719677 2.666454 4.167745 6.481468 10.365863
2025-09-28 0.628421 1.004458 1.587833 2.568096 4.193789 6.816649 11.437611
2025-10-05 0.586356 0.973422 1.598001 2.691337 4.584495 7.776917 13.670475
2025-10-12 0.550795 0.947163 1.610608 2.817226 4.992720 8.816856 16.194986
2025-10-19 0.509392 0.904893 1.589664 2.879981 5.295461 9.709122 18.583503
2025-10-26 0.470562 0.861723 1.560802 2.922695 5.564090 10.570520 21.038739
2025-11-02 0.420609 0.791931 1.475072 2.847183 5.596453 10.986122 22.671095
2025-11-09 0.366658 0.709647 1.359119 2.703934 5.487616 11.132321 23.823661
2025-11-16 0.333177 0.662878 1.305475 2.677368 5.611643 11.768143 26.129547
2025-11-23 0.301248 0.615287 1.244430 2.627412 5.679633 12.296701 28.289766
2025-11-30 0.288949 0.606238 1.260068 2.741121 6.117101 13.687697 32.670167
2025-12-07 0.271676 0.584554 1.246613 2.789339 6.414853 14.809432 36.605411
2025-12-14 0.250283 0.551364 1.204456 2.767203 6.546607 15.565333 39.766714
2025-12-21 0.225005 0.506595 1.131588 2.664365 6.471424 15.814870 41.671737
2025-12-28 0.218876 0.504561 1.154620 2.792083 6.978935 17.574233 47.900369
2026-01-04 0.213108 0.502649 1.177612 2.922697 7.512982 19.482799 54.895073
2026-01-11 0.203494 0.490417 1.174674 2.987799 7.886479 21.028337 61.148261
2026-01-18 0.193389 0.475806 1.164229 3.032124 8.211015 22.491709 67.437424